Ghana Oil and Gas Industry 2015 Analysis

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We hold to our bullish view on the Ghana oil and gas sector, as production from Jubilee, TEN

and Sankofa support rising production growth. Rapid economic expansion will also see a strong increase in consumption. And as consumption growth begins to outpace production, we forecast a mounting

dependency on imported fuels and natural gas, at the end of our forecast period.

The main trends and developments in Ghana's oil and gas sector are:

Ghana boasts significant, underexplored acreage offshore. Although our reserves forecasts remain

modest, we acknowledge strong upside risk from continued exploration.

 

Due to the moratorium on gas flaring, associated gas production at Jubilee has acted as a major

bottleneck on oil output. However, with Atuabo brought online in the fourth quarter of 2014, we forecast strong oil and gas production growth from 2015.

 

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Table: Oil Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 86
Table: Oil Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 87
Table: Oil Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 87
Table: Oil Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 88
Table: Refining Capacity - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 ('000b/d) 89
Table: Refining Capacity - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 ('000b/d) 89
Table: Gas Consumption - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 90
Table: Gas Consumption - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 91
Table: Gas Production - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 92
Table: Gas Production - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 92
Table: LNG Net Exports - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2011-2018 (bcm) 93
Table: LNG Net Exports - Long-Term Forecasts, 2015-2023 (bcm) 94
Ghana - Refined Products Breakdown, 10-Year Forecasts 95
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Ghana 2012-2017) 95
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Production Breakdown (Ghana 2018-2023) 96
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Ghana 2012-2017) 97
Table: Refined Petroleum Products, Consumption Breakdown (Ghana 2018-2023) 98

 

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