Inderscience Publishers

Intelligence and anticipation: issues in security, risk and crisis management

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This article deals with the way in which intelligence flows and other critical information can be embedded into a risk framework that will facilitate the early warning of emerging threat scenarios. That is, an organisation should be able to anticipate crisis triggers and know when a crisis situation will manifest itself. As an outcome, a conceptual framework that defines how to make sense of complex situations, datasets and real world anomalies is suggested.

Keywords: anticipation, intelligence flows, sense-making, threat assessment, vulnerability, security, risk management, crisis management, early warning, emerging threats

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