Showing results for: air quality forecasting Articles
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The value of accurate air quality forecasts
The value of accurate air quality forecasts critically depends upon how the information will be used. This paper proposes a simple model of private firm decision-making under uncertainty to consider potential economic applications and benefits from accurate air quality forecasts. It uses the findings of a survey of employees from five large employers in southern New Hampshire and northeastern ...
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The Use of Real-Time Air Quality Data in Daily Forecasting and Decision-Making
The feature articles published in this month’s issue describe various near-realtime data resources and provide examples of how they are being used to facilitate air quality forecasting and daily decision-making. The articles reinforce the importance of making as much environmental data as possible available to the public in real time. The major national source of realtime air quality ...
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Correlation of air pollution and meteorological data using neural networks
In order to develop an environmental forecasting tool, the Neural Network method of computational intelligence is investigated. For this purpose, hourly and daily time series of CO, NO2 and O3, as well as a variety of meteorological variables are employed in various multi-layer percepton (MLP) models, in order to provide reliable air quality forecasts, using as a test case the city of Athens, ...
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Lisbon air quality forecast using statistical methods
Ozone and particulate matter levels in Southern European countries are particularly high, exceeding the established limit values, and the information and alert thresholds (in the case of ozone). Therefore, it is relevant to develop a good prediction methodology for the concentrations of these pollutants. Statistical models based on Multiple Regression (MR) analysis and classification and ...
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Predicting air quality in Uberlandia, Brazil, using linear models and Neural Networks
Particulate air pollution causes a wide range of effects on human health, including disorders of the respiratory and cardiovascular systems, asthma and can cause mortality. Hence, the development of an efficient air quality forecasting and early warning system is an obvious and imperative need. The objective of this work was to investigate this forecasting possibility using linear models (such as ...
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Operational meteorological pre-processing at Emilia- Romagna ARPA Meteorological Service as a part of a decision support system for air quality management.
In the framework of the Integrated Decision Support System for air quality assessment and management operating at the Emilia-Romagna Region Meteorological Service, an appropriate meteorological input is necessary: 1) to provide meteorological information for evaluation of the pollution data observed at the urban monitoring stations; 2) as input data to run daily statistical models for air quality ...
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How can air quality forecasting help reduce pollution exposure
It is now a well-established fact that exposure to poor air quality leads to serious health conditions. These health impacts on populations have led to a massive economic burden on economies around the world. This impact can be minimized by reducing our exposure to air pollution. We can do this by leveraging the latest technology which is available to us. One of the best ways of doing that is ...
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The New England Air Quality Forecasting Pilot Program: Development of an Evaluation Protocol and Performance
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration recently sponsored the New England Forecasting Pilot Program to serve as a “test bed” for chemical forecasting by providing all of the elements of a National Air Quality Forecasting System, including the development and implementation of an evaluation protocol. This Pilot Program enlisted three regional-scale air quality models, serving as ...
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PRESAXIO regional air quality modelling system: validation and applications
Different operational air quality forecasts (ESSEM Cost Action 0602) are currently available in Europe. However, most of them are not suitable for regional application and, also, their coarse outputs do not fit well with air quality management needs. In this work, PRESAXIO regional air quality modelling system is validated and applied over Galicia (NW of Spain), including WRF and CHIMERE models. ...
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Using ADMS models for Air Quality Assessment and Management in China
Many cities and regions are undertaking studies of air quality in cities to determine both the current state of the environment and the effect of future economic and environmental strategies in order to manage local air quality. Often these studies are driven by legislation such as the European Union requirement to model agglomerations or the Chinese requirements to study air quality capacity and ...
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A modelling system for air quality management
To develop effective air quality management strategies at regional and urban levels requires the preparation of several actions belonging to different scientific areas and analysis of their complex interactions. A well-structured management system must be based on efficient tools that integrate diverse sets of information - emissions, traffic, meteorological variables and air quality data. ...
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The application of Eulerian models for air quality prediction and the evaluation of emission control strategies in Canada
The Canadian Hemispheric and Regional Ozone and NOx System (CHRONOS) has been designed for the prediction of atmospheric oxidants on both regional and hemispheric scales. The model simulates dispersion and complex chemistry of nitrogen oxides and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) using inventories of actual anthropogenic emission. The meteorological input for the model is provided by the ...
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Air pollution forecast in Portugal: a demand from the new air quality framework directive
This work aims at developing and validating a numerical air quality operational forecasting system that will be applied over Portugal. The CHIMERE model was chosen for the chemistry-transport simulation using the meteorological parameters supplied by the MM5 mesoscale meteorological model, forced by the AVN/NCEP global forecasts. An experiment of 48-hour real-time forecast simulations was ...
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Real time, high resolution regional weather and air quality forecasting system in West Macedonia, Greece
This paper presents an overview of the University of Western Macedonia's (UoWM) operational model for predicting the prevailing meteorological and air quality conditions on a high resolution (2 × 2 km²) scale. The MM5 – SMOKE – CMAQ has been suitably parameterised with respect to the particular geographical and climatic characteristics of the region of West Macedonia. The system is designed to ...
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How can air quality forecasting help reduce pollution exposure?
It is now a well-established fact that exposure to poor air quality leads to serious health conditions. These health impacts on populations have led to a massive economic burden on economies around the world. This impact can be minimized by reducing our exposure to air pollution. We can do this by leveraging the latest technology which is available to us. One of the best ways of doing that is ...
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An evaluation and comparison of the various statistical and deterministic techniques for forecasting the concentration of criteria air pollutants
A statistical approach is about working through the historical data in a general way and finding guides to future behaviour. In the present study, forecasting of the criteria pollutants has been done using simple statistical techniques and attempt has been made for an inter-comparison of these techniques with various advanced statistical and deterministic techniques. The inter-comparison analysis ...
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Determination of Compliance with UK and EU Air Quality Objectives From High Resolution Pollutant Concentration Maps Calculated Using ADMS-Urban.
The main features and functionality of the urban air quality version of ADMS (ADMS-Urban) have been presented at previous Harmonisation Workshops. The system has now been set up and applied to air quality management, decision support and air quality forecasting in a number of major cities in Europe and beyond, including London. Key recent developments of the system include a regional chemistry ...
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Application of adjoint CMAQ chemical transport model in the Athens greater area: sensitivities study on ozone concentrations
The factors affecting ground level ozone concentrations in the Greater Athens Area (GAA) are examined through adjoint sensitivity analysis, using a meteorology and air quality forecasting system based on MM5, the in–house EMISLAB emissions processing system and the chemical transport model Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ). Sensitivities of the ground level ozone concentrations ('response ...
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Determination of compliance with UK and EU air quality objectives from high-resolution pollutant concentration maps calculated using ADMS-Urban
The main features and functionality of the urban air quality version of ADMS (ADMS-Urban) have been presented at previous Harmonisation Workshops. The system has now been set up and applied to air quality management, decision support and air quality forecasting in a number of major cities in Europe and beyond, including London. Key recent developments of the system include a regional chemistry ...
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Urban ozone modelling by using a prognostic Eulerian air quality system: Madrid case study
Air quality models are essential tools in the understanding of pollutant dynamics in the urban atmosphere. In this contribution we present an air quality system (ANA), which is composed of a meteorological module that uses a three-dimensional approach with terrain-following coordinates and the non-hydrostatic approach, and a detailed emission model (250 x 250 m) that includes the anthropogenic ...
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