probabilistic risk modeling Articles
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Technologies of logic and probabilistic management of risk of social and economic systems
We propose the risk of logic and probabilistic management technologies of social and economic systems for informational and analytical support of leaders and of managers to make decisions. We describe components of risk management technologies. We give an example of risk logic and probabilistic (LP) model of successful development of Russia. We state methods of quantitative LP–analysis and ...
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Structural design codes of practice and their limits
Structural design codes of practice have been replaced and revised since their inception some 100 years ago. This paper first provides a review of the background to the use and the probabilistic form of codes of practice in structural design. The topic of assessment is the treated in two parts involving epistemic and ontological thinking. Firstly, the evidence of the success of the modelling in ...
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Aquatic predicted no effect concentrations of 16 PAHs and their ecological risks in surface seawater of Liaodong Bay, China
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), a class of ubiquitous pollutants in marine environments, exhibit moderate to high adverse effects on aquatic lives and humans. However, the lack of toxicity data of PAHs to aquatic organism limited the evaluation of their ecological risks. In the present study, aquatic predicted no effect concentrations (PNECs) of 16 priority PAHs were derived based on ...
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Water infrastructure security against Al Qaeda`s revenge for the death of Bin Laden
On May 2, 2011, the United States (U.S.) President Barack Obama announced that the U.S. forces killed Osama Bin Laden, the world's most dangerous terrorist leader that killed approximately 3000 Americans on September 11, 2011 (9/11) terror attacks. Currently, the U.S. intelligence is in possession of valuable materials of Al Qaeda operations (Thomas, 2011). Terrorist attack plots include water ...
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