Keywords: pollution emissions, emissions reduction, modelling, sustainable development, sustainability, climate change, air pollution, pollution reduction, climate stabilisation strategy
Model analyses of long and short term pollution emission reduction
Climate change is influenced not only by the emissions of greenhouse gases, but also by the emissions of air pollutants which influence each other through complex interactions in the atmosphere. Reducing emissions could be one way to react and prevent negative impacts from climate change. Because these reductions must take place in the face of economic growth, there is a disagreement about the concrete time and the rate of the pollution emission reduction (PER). By modelling of short and long term emission reduction scenarios, the authors analyse responding of: pollution, population, non–renewable resources and industrial output of post–2015, that could establish a foundation for undertaking actions to mitigate climate change, taking into account both their environmental and economic consequences. In long term scenarios, the values of the factors discussed depend mainly on the year when the pollution reduction is achieved, and very little on the rate of emission reduction. From the analysis of the results straightforwardly follows that in any climate stabilisation strategy, the early action in reducing emission is a more important element than the rate of its decrease.