Zimbabwe Power Market Q1 2015 Analysis

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The outlook for Zimbabwe's power sector is moderate, but market opportunities for private

investors are limited. On the upside, a number of major projects will boost generation to 15.7TWh by 2023, up from 8.7TWh in 2015, mainly by exploiting coal and hydropower. This will be underpinned by a steady rise in demand for electricity, from13.3TWh to 21.4TWh over our forecast period, as the economy and population grows. However, the operating environment will remain extremely challenging. A major obstacle will be the absence of a regulatory framework which allows for private competition and the effective insolvency of Zimbabwe Electricity Supply Authority Holdings (ZESA) which enjoys a monopoly on generation, transmission and distribution.

 

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Beyond this, the political and macroeconomic environment is unstable, corruption is rife and the government makes periodic threats to seize foreignowned assets in the country. In this context, the most lucrative market opportunity is in the sale of rooftop solar panels, which are in increasing demand due to the failure of the ZESA to provide adequate supplies of electricity from the grid.

 

Table of Contents

 

BMI Industry View 7
Key Forecasts 7
Recent Developments 7
SWOT . 9
Industry Forecast 11
Zimbabwe Snapshot . 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Zimbabwe 2014-2019) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Zimbabwe 2019-2024) 11
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector . 11
Zimbabwe Power Forecast Scenario 12
Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017) . 12
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023) . 13
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017) 14
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023) 15
Electricity Consumption . 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017) . 21
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023) . 21
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017) . 24
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023) . 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017) 24
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023) 25
Industry Risk Reward Ratings 26
SSA Power Risk/Reward Index 26
Table: Sub Saharan Africa - Power Risk Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100) 31
Zimbabwe Power Risk/Reward Ratings 32
Rewards 32
Risks 32
Market Overview 34
Southern Africa Power Projects Database . 34
Table: Southern Africa Power Projects Database 34
Key Policies And Market Structure 40
Competitive Landscape . 45
Competitive Landscape 45
Regional Overview . 50
MEA Power Regional Overview . 50
Glossary 55
Table: Glossary Of Terms . 55
Methodology . 56
Industry Forecast Methodology 56
Sources . 59
Risk/Reward Index Methodology 59
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators 60
Table: Weighting Of Indicators 61

 

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List of Tables

Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Zimbabwe 2014-2019)
Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data (Zimbabwe 2019-2024)
Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017)
Table: Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017)
Table: Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017)
Table: Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017)
Table: Electric Power T&D Losses Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2012-2017)
Table: Trade Data And Forecasts (Zimbabwe 2018-2023)
Table: Sub Saharan Africa - Power Risk Reward Index (Scores Out Of 100)
Table: Southern Africa Power Projects Database
Table: Glossary Of Terms
Table: Power Risk/Reward Index Indicators
Table: Weighting Of Indicators

 

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