Africa LNG Market Outlook - New Opportunities, Trends and Drivers to 2020

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Africa LNG Market Outlook - New Opportunities, Trends and Drivers to 2020

Africa LNG Market 

Africa LNG Market Outlook- New Opportunities, Trends and Drivers to 2020” from LNGReports is a comprehensive report on current and future Africa LNG business environment. It identifies all possible opportunities of contracting and investing in African markets. The report provides all major trends and drivers driving the industry growth to 2020. It forecasts country wise LNG capacity, LNG exports and natural gas production to 2020. In addition to monthly trade volumes from January to December 2010, it also provides annual LNG trade data from 2000 to 2020 by country.

Monthly LNG price data is provided for Algeria, Nigeria, Egypt, Equatorial Guinea and Libya for 2010. The report also analyzes the trade pattern and the typical contracting terms followed in sale purchase agreements with supporting data. Key LNG strategies of 6 leading players in Africa are detailed. Further, the report also provides capacity addition details through new terminals and expansions. Current status of all the planned terminals in Africa is detailed along with all the latest developments in Africa LNG industry.

Research Highlights -

  • African nations earn a sales revenue of $17.6 billion through LNG exports in 2010
  • African total LNG sales stood at 42.66 mtpa, with Europe importing more than 68% of it.
  • October witnessed the largest LNG exports from Africa, while the annual average LNG price stood at $8.04/MMBtu
  • All the African nations will increase their liquefaction capacities over the next decade, resulting in capacity growth of 76.4 mtpa between 2010 and 2020
  • Over 25% of African LNG production is traded in spot and short term markets
  • Africa will have surplus natural gas production of 135.3 Bcm in 2020, adequate enough to meet all the LNG export contracts
  • Nigeria, with a total LNG production of 59.43 mtpa, will remain the largest LNG producer in Africa
  • South Africa and Kenya plan construction of LNG import plants
  • As a part of its mid term strategy, Sonatrach plans to strengthen its foothold in pacific basin markets
  • Most African nations preferring construction of medium sized liquefaction trains
  • Around 70% of LNG contracts are signed on Delivery- on Ex-Ship basis
  • 33.4 mtpa of capacity to be added through expansion of existing LNG terminals

Table of Contents

1 Table of Contents
1.1 List of Tables
1.2 List of Figures

2 Executive Summary
2.1 Marketed natural gas production in Africa to increase by more than 40% between 2010 and 2020
2.1.1 Role of LNG in Africa Natural Gas Industry Growth
2.1.2 Africa Marketed Natural Gas Production Forecast, Bcm, 2000- 2020
2.2 Driven by growth in Nigeria and Algeria, Africa liquefaction capacity to increase by 76.4 mtpa between 2010 and 2020
2.2.1 Africa Planned LNG Export Capacity Additions, 2010- 2020
2.2.2 Role of Nigeria in Africa LNG Capacity Growth
2.3 LNG Exports from Africa to triple in the next decade
2.4 Africa LNG export price stands lower than global Average, enabling it to be the preferred contract destination for importers
2.4.1 Global Average LNG Export Prices by Region, $/MMBtu, 2010
2.4.2 Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Country, $/MMBtu, 2010
2.5 African countries to increasingly target Asian markets
2.5.1 Key Drivers
2.5.2 Africa LNG Export Quantity by Region, 2000 to 2010
2.6 Nigeria to remain the leading LNG producer in Africa
2.7 South Africa and Kenya Plan to Start Up Regasification Terminals
2.8 Five new liquefaction and two new regasification terminals to start up by 2020
2.9 Africa’s first offshore LNG terminal to commence operations in 2011

3 New Opportunities and drivers for financing and investing in Africa LNG markets
3.1 African nations generate $17.6 billion revenue through LNG exports in 2010
3.1.1 Africa LNG Export Revenues by Country
3.2 More than 40% of Africa liquefaction capacity will be available for contracts in 2020
3.3 Successful NOC-IOC Partnerships turn Africa LNG industry to the preferred investment hub in global oil and gas industry
3.4 Strong LNG demand in Asia Pacific markets encouraging African LNG exporters
3.5 Industrial and Power demand driving the African regasification industry
3.6 Significant stranded offshore reserves fuelling the FLNG growth
3.7 Nigeria government’s anti-flaring move driving the country’s aggressive capacity expansion

4 Africa Natural Gas and LNG Supply- Demand Outlook to 2020

4.1 African natural gas supply- demand balance to stand at 135.3 Bcm in 2020
4.2 Countries in Africa find LNG as an important mode of revenue generation
4.3 Africa LNG Production to exceed 130 mtpa in 2020
4.4 Nigeria to supply more than half of the region’s production by 2020

5 Forecast of Africa LNG Capacity by Country to 2020
5.1 Africa LNG capacity to increase by 76.4 mtpa over the next decade
5.2 Angola to foray into global LNG market in 2012 to commercialize its natural gas resources
5.3 Commencement of Gassi Touil LNG and expansion of Skikda LNG to boost Algeria LNG trade volume
5.4 SEGAS plans to double the capacity of its Damietta LNG terminal in 2011
5.5 Bioko Island LNG Terminal in Equatorial Guinea to witness more than double its capacity in 2016
5.6 Marsa El-Brega LNG plant in Libya to upgrade its liquefaction train capacity
5.7 Flaring reduction policies in Nigeria driving the LNG market growth in the country
5.8 African nations continue to invest in construction of medium sized liquefaction trains
5.9 Increasing demand from Power sector encourages South Africa to construct new LNG terminal
5.10 Mott MacDonald has been awarded the contract to provide consultancy services for Kenya LNG

6 Africa Monthly LNG Trade Quantities by Country
6.1 Africa Actual LNG exports to increase to around 160 Bcm by 2020
6.1.1 Africa LNG Export Forecast by Country - 2000 to 2020
6.2 Shifting global LNG trade patterns- Implications for the Africa
6.3 Europe continues to be the leading importer of Africa LNG
6.3.1 Low Transportation Costs
6.3.2 Africa LNG Sales and Revenue by Importing Regions, 2010
6.4 Africa exported the largest volume of LNG in December and March 2010
6.4.1 Country wise monthly LNG exports from Africa, January 2010 to December 2010
6.5 Spain, France and Turkey Imported Largest Volumes of LNG from Africa
6.5.1 Countries importing LNG from Africa
6.5.2 Africa LNG Exports by Importing Country, 2010
6.6 Around 46% of African LNG revenue came from Spain and France
6.7 Africa Annual LNG Export Forecasts by Exporting Country, 2000- 2020
6.8 Algeria Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
6.9 Libya Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
6.10 Egypt Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
6.11 Equatorial Guinea Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
6.12 Nigeria Monthly LNG Monthly LNG Trade by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010

7 Africa Monthly LNG Prices by Country

7.1 Africa Average LNG Export Price Peaked in November for 2010
7.1.1 Africa LNG Export Prices by Month, 2010
7.2 Strong Spot and Short Term Trade Enable Highest LNG Prices for Equatorial Guinea
7.3 Renewed Demand in Asia Pacific Boost African LNG Prices
7.3.1 Africa Average LNG Prices by Exporting and Destination Countries, 2010
7.4 Algeria Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
7.5 Libya Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
7.6 Egypt Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
7.7 Equatorial Guinea Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
7.8 Nigeria Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010

8 Africa LNG Master Selling Purchase Agreements
8.1 More than 25% of African LNG is traded in Short Term and Spot Markets
8.1.1 Africa LNG Exports- Short Vs Long Term Exports, 2010
8.1.2 Africa Spot LNG Exports by Country, 2010
8.2 Over 70% of LNG contract agreements are Delivery on Ex- Ship (DES) based
8.3 Nigeria, Algeria and Egypt have largest spare capacities from Africa
8.4 Over 40% of African LNG capacity will be free for contracting in 2020
8.5 Africa LNG Balances by Country, 2000- 2020
8.6 Africa LNG Long and Medium term Contracts, 2000- 2020

9 Africa LNG Competitive Landscape and Business Strategies
9.1 Africa LNG Market Structure, 2010
9.2 Africa LNG Export Capacity by Company, 2000- 2020
9.3 Sonatrach LNG strategies and operations
9.3.1 Sonatrach LNG Strategies
9.3.2 Sonatrach LNG Operations by Country
9.3.3 Sonatrach net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015
9.3.4 Sonatrach net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015
9.4 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation LNG strategies and operations
9.4.1 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation LNG Strategies
9.4.2 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation LNG Operations by Country
9.4.3 Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015
9.5 Royal Dutch Shell Plc LNG strategies and operations
9.5.1 Royal Dutch Shell Plc LNG Strategies
9.5.2 Royal Dutch Shell Plc LNG Operations by Country
9.5.3 Royal Dutch Shell Plc net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015
9.5.4 Royal Dutch Shell Plc net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015
9.6 ENI S.p.A LNG strategies and operations
9.6.1 ENI SpA LNG Strategies
9.6.2 ENI SpA LNG Operations by Country
9.6.3 ENI SpA net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015
9.6.4 ENI SpA net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015
9.7 BG Group Plc LNG strategies and operations
9.7.1 BG Group Plc LNG Strategies
9.7.2 BG Group Plc LNG Operations by Country
9.7.3 BG Group Plc net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015
9.7.4 BG Group Plc net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015
9.8 Petroliam Nasional Berhard LNG strategies and operations
9.8.1 Petroliam Nasional Berhard LNG Strategies
9.8.2 Petroliam Nasional Berhard LNG Operations by Country
9.8.3 Petroliam Nasional Berhard net weighted liquefaction capacity, 2000- 2015
9.8.4 Petroliam Nasional Berhard net weighted regasification capacity, 2000- 2015

10 Africa LNG Capacity Additions by 2020

10.1 LNG Capacity Additions through Commencement of New Terminals
10.2 Key LNG Terminal Expansions
10.3 Africa LNG Terminal Details- Location, Operator, Ownership, Construction, Technology, Capacity and Infrastructure Information

11 Updates on Planned LNG Terminals in Africa
11.1 LNG Terminal Capital Investment Details
11.2 Nigeria Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status
11.3 Algeria Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status
11.4 Angola Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status
11.5 South Africa Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status
11.6 Kenya Planned LNG Terminals- Updates on Construction, Investment and Current Status

12 Africa LNG Developments, 2010- 2011

13 Appendix
13.1 Abbreviations
13.2 LNG Conversions
13.3 Sources and Methodology
13.4 About LNGReports
13.5 Disclaimer

List Of Tables

Table 1: Africa LNG Export Quantities by Region, mtpa, 2000- 2010
Table 2: Africa LNG Exports by Country, 2020
Table 3: Africa LNG Export Revenues by Country, $billion, 2000- 2010
Table 4: NOC- IOC Partnerships in African LNG Terminals
Table 5: Nigeria- LNG Terminal wise Capacity Additions, mtpa, 2011-2020
Table 6: Africa Natural Gas Production, Demand and Supply-Demand Balance, Bcm, 2000- 2020
Table 7: Africa Actual LNG Production by Country, Bcm, 2000- 2020
Table 8: Africa LNG Liquefaction Capacity by Country, mtpa, 2000- 2020
Table 9: Africa Average Liquefaction Train Size, mtpa, 2010 and 2020
Table 10: Africa Actual LNG Exports by Country, mtpa, 2000-2020
Table 11: Africa LNG Sales and Revenue by Region, 2010
Table 12: Africa Monthly LNG Exports by Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 13: Africa LNG Exports by Importing Country, 2010
Table 14: Africa LNG Revenues by Importing Country, 2010
Table 15: Africa Actual LNG Export Forecasts by Country, mtpa, 2000-2020
Table 16: Algeria Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 17: Libya Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 18: Egypt Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 19: Equatorial Guinea Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 20: Nigeria Monthly LNG Exports by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 21: Africa Monthly Average LNG Export Prices, $/MMBtu, January 2010 to December 2010
Table 22: Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Exporting Country, $/MMBtu, 2010
Table 23: Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Exporting and Importing Markets, $/MMBtu, 2010
Table 24: Algeria Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 25: Libya Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 26: Egypt Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 27: Equatorial Guinea Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 28: Nigeria Monthly LNG Export Prices by Importing Country, January 2010- December 2010
Table 29: Africa LNG Contracted and Available LNG Capacity by Country, mtpa, 2000- 2020
Table 30: Africa LNG- Long and Medium Term Sale Purchase Agreements
Table 31: Africa LNG Market Structure, 2010
Table 32: Africa- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity by Company, mtpa, 2000- 2020
Table 33: Sonatrach- Existing and Planned LNG Operations, 2010
Table 34: Sonatrach- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015
Table 35: Sonatrach- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015
Table 36: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation- Existing and Planned LNG Operations, 2010
Table 37: Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015
Table 38: Royal Dutch Shell Plc- Existing and Planned LNG Operations
Table 39: Royal Dutch Shell Plc- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015
Table 40: Royal Dutch Shell Plc- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015
Table 41: ENI SpA Existing and Planned LNG Operations
Table 42: ENI SpA- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015
Table 43: ENI SpA- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015
Table 44: BG Group Plc- Existing and Planned LNG Operations
Table 45: BG Group Plc- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015
Table 46: BG Group Plc- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015
Table 47: Petroliam Nasional Berhard- Existing and Planned LNG Operations
Table 48: Petroleum Nasional Berhard- Net Weighted LNG Export Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2015
Table 49: Petroleum Nasional Berhard- Net Weighted LNG Import Capacity, Bcm, 2000- 2015
Table 50: Africa LNG Capacity Additions through Commencement of New Terminals, 2011- 2020
Table 51: Africa LNG Capacity Additions through Existing Terminal Expansions, 2011- 2020
Table 52: Africa LNG Terminal Details- Location, Operator, Ownership, Construction, Technology, Capacity and Infrastructure
Table 53: Africa LNG Terminals- Capital Investment Details

List of Figures

Figure 1: Africa- Historical and Forecasted Marketed Natural Gas Production, 2000-2020
Figure 2: Africa LNG Capacity Addition by Country, 2010-2020
Figure 3: Africa LNG Exports Growth, mtpa, 2010-2020
Figure 4: Global Average LNG Export Prices by Region, $/MMBtu, 2010
Figure 5: Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Country, $/MMBtu, 2010
Figure 6: Africa LNG Exports by Region, 2010
Figure 7: Africa LNG Exports by Region, 2010
Figure 8: Africa Available LNG Capacity for Contracting, 2010 and 2020
Figure 9: Africa Available LNG Capacity for Contracting, 2010 and 2020
Figure 10: Africa LNG Exports by Country, 2010
Figure 11: Africa LNG Exports by Country, 2015
Figure 12: Africa LNG Exports by Country, 2020
Figure 13: Africa LNG Liquefaction Capacity by Country, mtpa, 2000- 2020
Figure 14: Africa Actual LNG Exports by Country, mtpa, 2000-2020
Figure 15: Global LNG Trade- Spot vs Long Term, 2010
Figure 16: Africa Monthly LNG Exports, January 2010- December 2010
Figure 17: Africa Average LNG Export Prices by Exporting Country, $/MMBtu, 2010
Figure 18: Africa LNG Exports- Spot Vs Long Term Exports, 2010
Figure 19: Africa Spot LNG Exports by Country, 2010
Figure 20: Africa LNG Contracted and Available LNG Capacity, mtpa, 2000- 2020
Figure 21: Africa LNG Market Structure, 2010

 

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