Garama 3C Ltd.

Within the next decade, the world is likely to breach the 1.5°C warming threshold established under the Paris Agreement as a guardrail to ‘prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.’ Under current policies and actions, climate models suggest a warming of more that 2°C sometime in the middle of the century, approaching 3°C towards the end of the century (or around 2°C if current emissions pledges and targets become reality). All this assumes that today’s climate models are good representations of the real climate system, and that there are no surprises. Whatever action we take on greenhouse gas emissions, we are now committed to a level of warming that will have significant, and in many places profound impacts on water availability, food production, ecosystems, hydrological regimes, disaster risk, health, and a host of other factors that are critical for human and ecological wellbeing.